Draft:2026 Colombian presidential election

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General elections are constitutionally mandated to be held in Colombia every four years to elect members of the Congress and the President. Incumbent president Gustavo Petro is ineligible to seek re-election, according to a 2015 law passed by the legislature.[1]

2026 Colombian presidential election

← 2022 2026

Background[edit]

After years of conservative dominance of Colombian politics, incumbent President Gustavo Petro was elected President of Colombia in the 2022 Colombian presidential election.[2]

The 2022 election made history both for its election of Petro as the first leftist president of Colombia, and the first Black Vice President elected to the position, Francia Márquez.[3][4]

In the 2022 Colombian presidential election, Petro defeated businessman and former mayor of Bucaramanga, Rodolfo Hernández Suárez, capitalizing on desire for change, anger at President Ivan Duque's term, income inequality, poverty, and the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.[5] Originally a guerilla for the Marxist 9th of April Movement (M-19), and a Senator, Petro said upon his election as President that his government "will be one of life, peace, social justice, and environmental justice," and noted that he will listen to not only those who have raised arms, but also to "that silent majority of peasants, Indigenous people, women, youth."[6]

Since becoming President, Petro has pushed forward a left-wing, progressive agenda. His government has passed tax hikes[7] on the wealthy and the petroleum industry into law, attempted to reform Colombia's healthcare system[8], prioritized progressive environmental policies including calling to end dependence on fossil fuels[9][10], began negotiating peace agreements with leftist guerilla groups including Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and The National Liberation Army (ELN) as part of his "Total Peace" plan [11][12], pledged restored ties with Nicolás Maduro[13], and ratified the Escazú environmental accord.[14]

Since taking office, more Colombians have disapproved of Petro's performance than approved. Less than a year into his role as President, by June 2023, 33% of Colombians approved of Petro's performance, and 61% disapproved.[15]

Factors such as crime, a struggling economy[16], Petro's consideration to decriminalize cocaine[17] and security fears in rural areas due to the drug trade[18][19], his stalled reforms in the legislative branch as his former coalition allies left government[20], his disagreements with the Office of the Attorney General of Colombia, the arrest of President Petro's son Nicolas in a money laundering scandal involving campaign finance,[21][22] and scandal involving Chief of Staff Laura Sarabia[23] have contributed to the fall in Petro's public support.

Former President Ivan Duque endorsed Jaime Pumarejo, the current Mayor of Barranquilla, in November 2023, in a possible sign the Colombian Right is seeking a consensus figure for the upcoming 2026 elections.[24]

Electoral system[edit]

Further information: Elections in Colombia and Politics of Colombia

Colombian Presidents are elected for four-year terms using a two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff is held between the top two candidates. The Vice President is elected on the same ticket as the President. Presidents are limited to a single four-year term and Article 191 of the constitution requires candidates to be Colombian by birth and at least thirty years old.

In line with the constitution, Colombian citizens by birth or by naturalization, aged eighteen or older have the right to vote. In order to be accepted as a candidate, applicants must either have the backing of a recognized political party to run as their official candidate, or to collect a minimum number of signatures in order to run as an independent candidate.

Candidates[edit]

Speculated candidates[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Press, Associated (2015-06-04). "Colombia's Congress eliminates presidential re-election". San Diego Union-Tribune. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  2. ^ Pozzebon, Stefano (2022-06-17). "Left-wing candidate and former guerrilla Gustavo Petro wins Colombian presidential race". CNN. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  3. ^ "Former rebel Gustavo Petro is sworn in as Colombia's first leftist president". NBC News. 2022-08-07. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  4. ^ "Francia Márquez Makes History as Colombia's First Black Vice President". Yahoo News. 2022-06-20. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  5. ^ "Colombia's presidential election: 'We are not idiots. We know that the country will not change in four years'". Le Monde.fr. 2022-05-28. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  6. ^ "Colombia: Historic win for Gustavo Petro, the country's first left-wing president". Le Monde.fr. 2022-06-20. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  7. ^ "Understanding the Petro Government's Tax Reform | AS/COA". www.as-coa.org. 2022-09-19. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  8. ^ "Petro Notches Win in His Push to Reform Colombia's Health System". Bloomberg.com. 2023-12-06. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  9. ^ University, © Stanford; Stanford; California 94305 (2023-04-20). "Colombian President Gustavo Petro Urges Transition to Green Energy". fsi.stanford.edu. Retrieved 2024-01-06.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  10. ^ August 8, Mauricio Cárdenas |; 2022. "The Problem with Petro's Green Energy Policy". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 2024-01-06. {{cite web}}: |last2= has numeric name (help)CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  11. ^ Sanders, Richard M. (2024-01-05). "Can Colombia's Petro Escape His Labyrinth?". The National Interest. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  12. ^ "Petro's Total Peace Plan Turns One: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly". Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  13. ^ País, El (2023-01-09). "Colombia y Venezuela: así avanza su relación comercial desde la llegada de Petro a la Presidencia". Noticias de Cali, Valle y Colombia - Periodico: Diario El País (in Spanish). Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  14. ^ "Colombia president signs Escazu Agreement before leaving for COP27". La Prensa Latina Media. 2022-11-06. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  15. ^ Santaeulalia, Inés (2023-06-29). "Colombia tires of 'government of change' in just one year: 61% disapprove of Petro". EL PAÍS English. Archived from the original on 7 July 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-06.
  16. ^ "Colombia Economy Unexpectedly Shrinks, Raising Odds of Rate Cut". Bloomberg.com. 2023-11-15. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  17. ^ Noriega, Christina (2024-01-12). "Colombia's Radical New Approach to Cocaine". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  18. ^ Posada, Juan Diego (2023-02-03). "Record Cocaine Seizures in Colombia as Government Negotiates With Traffickers". InSight Crime. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  19. ^ Sanders, Richard M. (2024-01-05). "Can Colombia's Petro Escape His Labyrinth?". The National Interest. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  20. ^ Staff, The City Paper (2023-11-28). "Colombia's Liberal Party leaves Petro Government coalition". The City Paper Bogotá. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  21. ^ Feliba, David (2023-08-28). "Corruption scandals rattle governments in Chile and Colombia". The Brazilian Report. Archived from the original on 29 November 2023. Retrieved 2023-08-28.
  22. ^ "The son of Colombia's president says his father's election campaign received money of dubious origin". AP News. 2023-08-04. Archived from the original on 28 August 2023. Retrieved 2023-08-28.
  23. ^ Guzmán, Sergio (June 5, 2023). "Gustavo Petro's Biggest Crisis Yet". Americas Quarterly. Archived from the original on 7 July 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-06.
  24. ^ Freixes, Josep (2023-11-14). "Former President Duque Endorses Jaime Pumarejo for the 2026 Presidential Elections". Colombia One: News from Colombia and the World. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  25. ^ Freixes, Josep (2023-11-14). "Former President Duque Endorses Jaime Pumarejo for the 2026 Presidential Elections". Colombia One: News from Colombia and the World. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  26. ^ Freixes, Josep (2023-11-14). "Former President Duque Endorses Jaime Pumarejo for the 2026 Presidential Elections". Colombia One: News from Colombia and the World. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  27. ^ Freixes, Josep (2023-11-14). "Former President Duque Endorses Jaime Pumarejo for the 2026 Presidential Elections". Colombia One: News from Colombia and the World. Retrieved 2024-01-06.
  28. ^ Freixes, Josep (2023-11-14). "Former President Duque Endorses Jaime Pumarejo for the 2026 Presidential Elections". Colombia One: News from Colombia and the World. Retrieved 2024-01-06.