Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

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In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Opinion polls before candidate registration[edit]

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

Graphical summary[edit]

2024[edit]

Polling firm Date Sample
size 		Others Blank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles Enríquez-Ominami Briones
Ind. Ind. Ind.
Cadem[1] 7 April 2024[2] - 1 3 - - 4 2 - 25 12 - 1 1 - - - 6 42

2023[edit]

Polling firm Date Sample
size 		Others Blank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles Enríquez-Ominami Briones
Ind. Ind. Ind.
Cadem[3] 8-10 November 2023 710 1 5 4 4 - 2 19 17 - 4 2 - - - 8 34
Research Chile[4] 22 October 2023 832 1 7 - - 9 9 2 2 26 18 - 2 2 - - - - 13
Research Chile 22-26 September 2023 813 1 6 - - 8 11 1 2 28 17 - 2 2 - - - - 16
Research Chile[5] 3-5 July 2023 786 1 8 - - 5 9 1 1 23 22 - 2 5 0 16
Cadem[6] 5-7 July 2023 705 - 5.2 - - 5.2 - - 8.6 13.8 36.2 - 3.4 3.4 -
Research Chile[7] 5-7 Jun 2023 805 1 9 - - 7 10 1 0 22 18 - 2 5 0 - -
Research Chile[8] 8-10 May 2023 765 1 9 - 7 5 2 1 22 27 2 2 6 1 11
Cadem[9][10] 3-5 May 2023 703 1 4 – – 2 1 - 4 13 20 1 2 4 – 7[a] 42
Research Chile[11] 10-12 Apr 2023 823 1 6 – – 4 6 1 0 25 12 1 4 10 – 7[b] 22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano[12] 21-24 Mar 2023 912 1.7 4 – – 5.4 1.5 – 6.8 16.3 15.7 – 2.2 3.9 – 22.1[c] 20.8
Research Chile[13] 6-8

Mar 2023

882 2 9 – – 6 6 2 – 25 11 2 4 5 1 8[d] 20
Research Chile[14] 6-7 Feb 2023 805 2 9 – – 5 4 2 – 25 12 1 4 3 0 6[e] 26
Research Chile[15] 9–10 Jan 2023 803 2 8 – – – 6 3 – 27 17 3 4 3 1 3 20

2022[edit]

Polling firm Date Sample
size 		Others Blank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Ind. Ind. Ind.
Encuestas Chile[16] 24 Mar –

31 Dec 2022

4,782 1 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 15 12 1 8 2 0 0 38
Cadem[17] 28–30 Dec 2022 705 1 – – – 3 1 1 4 9 13 – 1 1 – 12 54
Research Chile[18] 13-15 Dec 2022 800 2.1 9.5 – – – 5.3 3.3 – 20.6 15.8 2.5 3 – 0.6 19 25
Cadem[19] 26–28 Oct 2022 706 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 5 8 11 – 5 1 1 7 50
Election Results 19 Dec 2021 – 55.9[f] 44.1[g] – – – – –
21 Nov 2021 25.8[f] 11.6[h] 12.8[i] 27.9 12.8 – – 9.1[j] –

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  2. ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  3. ^ Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
  4. ^ Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  5. ^ Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  6. ^ a b Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
  7. ^ José Antonio Kast
  8. ^ Yasna Provoste
  9. ^ Sebastián Sichel
  10. ^ Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Comienza la carrera presidencial: Evelyn Matthei lidera en intención de voto espontáneo con 25% y se impone en todos los posibles escenarios de segunda vuelta". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  2. ^ "Comienza la carrera presidencial: Evelyn Matthei lidera en intención de voto espontáneo con 25% y se impone en todos los posibles escenarios de segunda vuelta". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  3. ^ "Opción "a favor" retrocede luego de 6 semanas al alza y llega a 32% (-3pts), mientras el "en contra" se mantiene en 50%". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2023-11-15.
  4. ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-31.
  5. ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  6. ^ "https://twitter.com/AmericaElige/status/1680738255677816844". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-07-18. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
  7. ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-25.
  8. ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  9. ^ "Encuesta Plaza Pública Primera Semana de Mayo" (PDF). Plaza Publica Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
  10. ^ "José Antonio Kast lidera la preferencia presidencial espontánea con 20%, seguido por Evelyn Matthei con 13%". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
  11. ^ Research Chile. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Abril 2023" (PDF).
  12. ^ "Pulso Ciudadano Marzo". Somos Activa. Retrieved 2023-04-07.
  13. ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Marzo 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
  14. ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Febrero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
  15. ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Enero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile. 16 January 2023.
  16. ^ "Encuesta 'Futuros Presidenciales' (Año 2022)". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-01-27.
  17. ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Quinta semana de diciembre - N°468" (PDF). Cadem. 1 January 2023.
  18. ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Diciembre" (PDF). 19 December 2022.
  19. ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Cuarta semana de octubre - N°459" (PDF). Cadem. 30 October 2022.
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